Mathematics, Free Full-Text
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 16 junho 2024
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://www.mdpi.com/mathematics/mathematics-11-03069/article_deploy/html/images/mathematics-11-03069-g001.png)
This comprehensive overview focuses on the issues presented by the pandemic due to COVID-19, understanding its spread and the wide-ranging effects of government-imposed restrictions. The overview examines the utility of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, which are often overlooked in pandemic forecasting due to perceived limitations in handling complex and dynamic scenarios. Our work applies ARIMA models to a case study using data from Recife, the capital of Pernambuco, Brazil, collected between March and September 2020. The research provides insights into the implications and adaptability of predictive methods in the context of a global pandemic. The findings highlight the ARIMA models’ strength in generating accurate short-term forecasts, crucial for an immediate response to slow down the disease’s rapid spread. Accurate and timely predictions serve as the basis for evidence-based public health strategies and interventions, greatly assisting in pandemic management. Our model selection involves an automated process optimizing parameters by using autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation plots, as well as various precise measures. The performance of the chosen ARIMA model is confirmed when comparing its forecasts with real data reported after the forecast period. The study successfully forecasts both confirmed and recovered COVID-19 cases across the preventive plan phases in Recife. However, limitations in the model’s performance are observed as forecasts extend into the future. By the end of the study period, the model’s error substantially increased, and it failed to detect the stabilization and deceleration of cases. The research highlights challenges associated with COVID-19 data in Brazil, such as under-reporting and data recording delays. Despite these limitations, the study emphasizes the potential of ARIMA models for short-term pandemic forecasting while emphasizing the need for further research to enhance long-term predictions.
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://asiasociety.org/sites/default/files/styles/1200w/public/G/gps-math.png)
Understanding the World Through Math
11+ Mathematics Pack 1 - GL Format Mock
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://ivyleaguecenter.files.wordpress.com/2021/05/2021-mop-3.png)
William L., Pravalika P., and Isabella Z. Qualified for the 2021
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://ecdn.teacherspayteachers.com/thumbitem/Math-Bell-Ringer-Journal-for-the-Entire-School-Year-FREE-2-Week-Sample-4013721-1657134619/original-4013721-2.jpg)
Math Bell Ringer Journal for the Entire School Year: FREE 2 Week
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/LEMAAOSwO8xeo4D~/s-l1200.webp)
Maths (Create and Display) by Webster, Liz Book The Fast Free
Variational and Free Boundary Problems
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://images-us.bookshop.org/ingram/9781540527141.jpg?height=500&v=v2)
Praxis 5161 Mathematics Content Knowledge: Praxis II 5161 Math
MathWorks Math Modeling Challenge
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://i1.sndcdn.com/artworks-pSyWPZPguz6AHU0d-yvwceA-t500x500.jpg)
Stream [PDF] ?? Download Linear Programming and Its Applications
Are there any good free online courses for discrete mathematics
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://static.vecteezy.com/system/resources/previews/021/488/046/non_2x/integral-mathematics-equation-math-formula-text-green-screen-background-teaching-engineering-teaching-equations-and-formulas-backgrounds-for-teaching-presentations-graphic-background-free-photo.jpg)
integral Mathematics equation math formula text Green screen
![Mathematics, Free Full-Text](https://joomla-2022.completemaths.com/images/logos/Logos_TUTOR_BLACK%2011.50.02.png)
Complete Mathematics - Home
Recomendado para você
-
Emoción alrededor de los estadios en la Copa Mundial Femenina de la FIFA - KESQ16 junho 2024
-
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana Saturday, June 10, Exclusively on ESPN+ PPV - ESPN Press Room U.S.16 junho 2024
-
ApexBrasil16 junho 2024
-
Microsoft anuncia inovação na nuvem para simplificar a segurança, conformidade e identidade – Microsoft News Center Brasil16 junho 2024
-
Top Rank Presents Highly Anticipated Superstar Bout: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury - ESPN Press Room U.S.16 junho 2024
-
Judit Castillo (@juditcastillog) • Instagram photos and videos16 junho 2024
-
Jake Scott (@jakescottmusic) • Instagram photos and videos16 junho 2024
-
Shower Head & Hand Shower 1.75 GPM 4-Setting in Chrome 7528516 junho 2024
-
Cal Women's Swimming & Diving (@calwswim) • Instagram photos and videos16 junho 2024
-
Anti Social Social Club ® (@antisocialsocialclub) • Instagram16 junho 2024
você pode gostar
-
Glee: Post sharing show's most 'unhinged' performances goes viral16 junho 2024
-
Ditto Evolves?16 junho 2024
-
$170 Google Ads Promo Code: How to Get the Free Coupons in 2023?16 junho 2024
-
Imagem e Escrita - Jogo para Alfabetização - Ri Happy16 junho 2024
-
Games Preview: Superstar Soccer Preview - Bubbleblabber16 junho 2024
-
Zoro Goes Demon Mode.. Rengoku Onigiri Defeats Kamazou - ONE PIECE - episode 93416 junho 2024
-
ATP - Digimon Adventure tri Digimon, Digimon adventure, Anime16 junho 2024
-
Assassin's Creed: Bloodlines upgrades, Assassin's Creed Wiki16 junho 2024
-
genshin impact liker — gempact: Genshin Impact GIF Hu Tao16 junho 2024
-
Chad Kroeger (Smile) Celebrity Mask, Flat Card Face16 junho 2024