Elo Rating System: how underrated are the kids?

An interesting phenomenon of the ELO rating system is that when examining game outcomes for a group of lower rated players, higher rated players tend to underperform relative to the theoretical ELO probability, and lower-rated players overperform. What are the causal factors explaining the inability of the ELO system to predict results? <a href="[Post:view_link]">A study by Ganesh Viswanath.</a>

kindofdoon: The Blog of Daniel W. Dichter: Predicting March Madness with Elo ratings and Monte Carlo simulations

Are Elo ratings going down?

How Elo Ratings Actually Work - by Nate Solon - Zwischenzug

Boltzmann and Fokker–Planck Equations Modelling the Elo Rating System with Learning Effects

COVID, Queen's Gambit, and Average Blitz Rating - Chess Forums

Introducing College Football Elo Ratings – Staturdays

A fat tails flaw of the Elo System? : r/chess

On the probability of Magnus Carlsen reaching 2900 - Bendre - 2023 - Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry - Wiley Online Library

Elo Rating System: how underrated are the kids?

Why is my blitz rating on 600 points lower than my USCF rating? - Chess Forums

MSE-optimal K-factor of the Elo rating system for round-robin tournament

Are Elo ratings going down?

A look at the Elo ratings in the year 2021

Are Elo ratings going down?

Are Elo ratings going down?