low-probability, high-impact outcomes

There's an interesting Earth System Dynamics Discussion paper presenting a a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WG1 to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Essentially, one can estimate the risk of some outcome by considering the likelihood of that outcome multiplied by the impact of that outcome. This is illustrated…

Navigating Risk: The Importance of Planning for Low Probability, High Impact Risks — Proxxi

Promac Group - Do you know? What is Risk Probability And

Risk Assessment: Likelihood & Impact - Pratum

Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

TR 07- FI- 02 INTERNAL CONTROL – basic course COSO RISKS OBJECTIVES CONTROLS January 2009 EU Twinning Project TR 07-FI ppt download

Preparing for High-Impact, Low-Probability Events: Lessons from Eyjafjallajokull (Chatham House Report) (Chatham House Report, January 2012) - Bernice Lee; Felix Preston; Gemma Green: 9781862032538 - AbeBooks

Risk management - Wikipedia

New tools and methods for High-Impact Low-Probability (HILP) event analysis - #SINTEFblog

Qualitative risk assessment