Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 16 junho 2024
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://dfzljdn9uc3pi.cloudfront.net/2023/14882/1/fig-3-full.png)
Background Global shifts in climatic patterns have been recorded over the last decades. Such modifications mainly correspond to increased temperatures and rainfall regime changes, which are becoming more variable and extreme. Methods We aimed to evaluate the impact of future changes in climatic patterns on the distribution of 19 endemic or threatened bird taxa of the Caatinga. We assessed whether current protected areas (PAs) are adequate and whether they will maintain their effectiveness in the future. Also, we identified climatically stable areas that might work as refugia for an array of species. Results We observed that 84% and 87% of the bird species of Caatinga analyzed in this study will face high area losses in their predicted range distribution areas in future scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively). We also observed that the current PAs in Caatinga are ineffective in protecting these species in both present and future scenarios, even when considering all protection area categories. However, several suitable areas can still be allocated for conservation, where there are vegetation remnants and a high amount of species. Therefore, our study paves a path for conservation actions to mitigate current and future extinctions due to climate change by choosing more suitable protection areas.
Loop Daniel de Paiva Silva
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S2351989420300986-gr2.jpg)
Host-parasite interaction augments climate change effect in an avian brood parasite, the lesser cuckoo Cuculus poliocephalus - ScienceDirect
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://royalsocietypublishing.org/cms/asset/12a49a0a-d7fe-4680-a51b-0551793e2d06/rstb20120005f07.jpg)
Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology and adaptation
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs13744-022-01006-0/MediaObjects/13744_2022_1006_Fig1_HTML.png)
How Can Climate Change Limit the Distribution of Cooperative Pseudoscorpions in Brazil?
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10661-023-12174-w/MediaObjects/10661_2023_12174_Fig5_HTML.png)
Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/cms/asset/edce6c27-91aa-4837-8185-38e11797efb8/gcb16140-fig-0003-m.jpg)
Global Change Biology, Environmental Change Journal
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs10661-023-12174-w/MediaObjects/10661_2023_12174_Fig1_HTML.png)
Predicting the future of threatened birds from a Neotropical ecotone area
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://www.science.org/cms/10.1126/science.aar5452/asset/251e9dea-08f5-459e-b238-20a070124bee/assets/graphic/361_aar5452_fa.jpeg)
Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves
![Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil [PeerJ]](https://ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/figures/IPCC_AR6_WGII_Figure_12_012.png)
Chapter 12: Central and South America Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
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